They always turn to the old dude ...

They always turn to the old dude ...

Earlier this week I noticed a large number of those in the media seemed completely and totally shocked and stunned by the results of the New Hampshire Primary.

How could John McCain win?

How could Hillary overcome a double digit deficit in one day?

First of all ... the results of the Iowa Caucuses and the general indifference to the other major candidates amongst Republicans means that Republican Voters will do what they always do ... they will return to the old dude ...

So ... when the good voters of New Hampshire went to the polls they did what they typically do ... they thought about who they like, then they thought about who else they like, and then they voted for McCain ... the old guy that has been around and that they know and that they generally think could actually win suddenly becomes their choice and "poof!" all the polls and the lack of money suddenly do not matter ...

Does anyone really think that with McCain as an option that Republicans will actually nominate Huckabee or Romney or Rudy or Fred?

Secondly, polls in primaries are so volatile as to really need a disclaimer on their margin for error that reads, "Really, our margin for error is about 20 percent."

Hillary Clinton brings with her a frightening amount of negatives, but she is also the one that is generally perceived to be a national candidate. The polls reflect what people "prefer", but people do not always vote that preference. They "prefer" Obama or Edwards or whoever ... and then they vote for the frontrunner ... when Edwards drops out, even if many of his supporters "prefer" Obama, they will not be with the losing candidate twice in the same election cycle ... they will turn to Hillary ... and so will more and more of the super delegates to the convention ...

The New Hampshire Primary results merely reflect what was obvious last January ... Hillary vs. McCain in November ...